Odds of Return by Ignatius Sorrell

The Broker's Back Room

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Chapter 3

Sep 29, 2026 · 2,126 words · 10 min read

Someone had oiled the east window's hinge and forgotten the south one, and that told Dorvan more about Rennő Halmasy than a week of watching the man's front door would have.

He'd been in the alley behind the boards for the better part of an hour, back against a stack of crated slate the Ring never bothered to reclaim, counting. Not sheep. Watchmen. The Osztonya Ring paid for one man to walk the boardside offices after dark, and that man had gone past twice now, forty minutes apart, boots loud enough on the cobbles that Dorvan could time him from three streets off. Punctual men made honest work of thievery. Dorvan had half a mind to leave the fellow a tip. Forty minutes was enough. It was not generous, but it was enough, if nothing under Halmasy's roof decided to be clever.

Rennő Halmasy's office sat wedged between a currency-clerk's stall and a shuttered bootmaker's, one window facing the alley, one door facing the boards where tomorrow's odds would go up in chalk. Dorvan had walked past that door eleven times since morning, buying nothing, asking nothing, learning the shape of a man who wrote licensed names small and unlicensed money large. A man that careful about paper would be careful about locks. Dorvan was counting on it.

The south window's shutter gave a thin, complaining creak when he tested it, the kind of sound that traveled. The east one didn't. Somebody, Halmasy himself, probably, a man who'd rather grease a hinge than trust a servant with a key, had oiled the east frame and let the south one rot, which told Dorvan which window got used and which got locked and ignored. People always protected the door they walked through. They never thought about the one they didn't.

He went in east, quiet as a held breath, and dropped into a room that smelled of tallow and old ink.

Two locks waited for him beyond the window, on the iron-strapped cabinet against the back wall, the kind of cabinet a man bought to be looked at, not to keep secrets in, except Halmasy had bought two locks for it, and that was the part worth thinking about. The lower lock was new, a bright Vadnyázsa double-ward, the sort of mechanism you'd see advertised in the same broadsheet that ran the day's odds, built to look expensive and be seen being expensive. It hung a finger's width open. Not locked. Not even latched.

Dorvan crouched and did not touch it.

A man who could afford a Vadnyázsa double-ward and left it swinging free wasn't careless. He was telling you a story: nothing worth stealing in here, friend, move along, and if you don't believe me, go on and pick it, waste your night on a lock built to be picked, while the thing you actually wanted sat six inches higher under a lock so old the file marks had gone smooth with handling.

The upper lock was that old one. A plain iron hasp, dull, dented once on the left edge like someone had hit it in frustration a long time ago and never replaced it. No dust on the keyhole. Used often. Trusted completely, which was its own kind of confession: a man doesn't trust an old, ugly lock unless it has never once let him down.

Quiet Hands, the notice at the edge of his vision reminded him, unhelpfully, Rank 3. As if he'd forgotten what rank his own fingers were. The system had never once, in four years, told him something he needed to know at the moment he needed to know it. It just liked to remind him he was good at things, the way a proud, useless uncle might.

He worked the hasp the slow way, by feel, one pick riding the pins while a second held tension steady, and thought, not for the first time, that Halmasy would have made a decent thief himself, if he'd had the nerve for the drop instead of the paper. It was the same instinct. Hide the truth behind a lie big enough that nobody bothers checking whether it's also a lie.

The pins gave, one, two, three, in the order his fingers had already decided they would before his mind caught up and agreed. The hasp swung.

Inside the cabinet: a ledger, bound in plain board with no title on the spine, the kind of book that wanted you to assume it was somebody's laundry accounts and move on.

Dorvan didn't move on.

He carried it to the strip of moonlight under the south shutter, closed but not sealed, enough gray light through the gap to work by, and opened it flat on his knee.

The first page was laundry accounts. Actual ones. Dorvan almost laughed, low and short, at a man devious enough to fake boredom three layers deep. He flipped past six pages of linens and soap before the hand changed, smaller, faster, the letters leaning hard to the right like they were in a hurry to get somewhere the rest of the book wasn't going.

He knew that hand's habits. Not the man's, not personally, but he'd spent an evening at Renyke's table matching filing flourishes on four fronted betting accounts, and Halmasy wrote his sevens with the same short cross-stroke he used on his account codes, the same clipped abbreviation for the east boards, e.bd., that had shown up on the three scraps he'd pulled off Renyke's wall the night before.

e.bd. — R.B. — confirmed, half paid, balance on result.

R.B. Dorvan turned the page looking for the name spelled out and found it two entries down, where Halmasy had gotten complacent, or tired, or simply hadn't imagined anyone would get this far: Ratsó Berényi. The referee's name, in full, inked next to a date that landed exactly on Ilka's match, and a sum that would have bought the man's entire house twice over.

Dorvan sat very still for a second, feeling the cold, clean shape of it settle into his hands. This was what he'd come for. Not a rumor. Not a pattern of odds a clerk might argue away as luck. A name, a date, a price, in the broker's own hand, in the broker's own ledger.

One down, he thought, and did not let himself feel good about it yet, because feeling good was a thing you did after you were three streets clear of the building you'd just robbed, not while you were still crouched in it.

He tore the page free, clean, along the binding, a motion his hands had practiced on worse paper than this, and that was when the front door's lock turned.

Not the cabinet's. The office door's. A key, unhurried, in no rush at all, which was worse than if it had been rushed, because a rushed key meant somebody who'd forgotten something. An unhurried key meant somebody who lived here.

Dorvan folded the torn page once, twice, into his coat, and went still the way Renyke had taught him: not frozen, never frozen, just slow, because the eye caught motion before it caught shape. He was behind the cabinet's open door in two soundless steps, back to the wall, the ledger, the whole book, he hadn't had time to be selective, clutched against his chest like it might give him away by breathing.

The office door opened. Lamplight crawled across the floor, orange and unsteady, a hand-carried flame instead of a fixed one. Two sets of boots, not one. Dorvan's stomach did something unpleasant and precise, because he'd counted for a single watchman on a forty-minute circuit, and forty minutes hadn't passed, and there were two men now standing in a room that was supposed to hold none.

"—told you he'd be back tonight, didn't I," one voice said, young, pleased with himself. "Said so at supper."

"You said tomorrow." The second voice was older, flatter, already bored with the argument. "You always say tomorrow and then act shocked when tomorrow happens tonight."

"That's not — that's not the same thing at all."

"It is exactly the same thing. Point is he wants the schedule board checked before he leaves for the boards, that's all, he's not stopping to chat with either of us."

He. Halmasy. Not tonight, Dorvan's plan had said, not until eleven walks past that door had told him the man kept banker's hours and slept behind the shuttered bootmaker's next door. Plans, it turned out, only knew what you'd fed them.

Through the gap between the cabinet door's hinges, a sliver of the room: the older watchman crossing to an inner door Dorvan hadn't so much as tried, because it had looked like a closet and he'd had no reason to doubt it. It wasn't a closet. Lamplight caught a board mounted on the far wall inside, chalk-marked in neat columns, a private tally a man kept where his hired watchmen could glance at it and confirm nothing more than that their employer was, as ever, a man of careful lists.

Dorvan had perhaps four seconds of light and angle before that door swung shut again, and he used every one of them on the top two lines, the only ones written large enough to resolve at this distance, numbered.

1. — ✓

2. Referee (Berényi) — confirmed

No name against the first line. Just the number, and the small, decisive check mark someone had already drawn beside it, in ink, not chalk — something meant to stay marked.

The inner door swung shut. The lamp moved off toward the front of the office, toward the desk, toward the general direction of the cabinet he was currently standing inside of with an entire stolen ledger against his ribs, and Dorvan's pulse did a short, ugly stutter.

"—window's open," the younger one said, mildly, the way you'd note the weather. "East side."

"It's always open. Frame's swollen, doesn't latch right. He's been meaning to fix it a year now."

"Man prices a fighter's whole future to the copper and can't be bothered to plane a door."

"Different kind of math."

Thank every crooked account in that book, Dorvan thought, and started moving the second the older watchman's back was fully turned, out from behind the cabinet door in a crouch, across six feet of open floor that felt like sixty, and up onto the sill he'd come in through, the ledger's board cover pressing a hard, flat ache into his sternum where he'd shoved it under his coat.

The swollen frame that never latched right caught his shoulder going out and cost him a half-second and a scrape he wouldn't feel until later. Behind him, one of the two voices said something he didn't catch, pitched up in a way that might have been alarm or might have been nothing at all, a man remarking on a draft. Dorvan didn't wait to find out which. He dropped into the alley, came up already walking, not running. Running was for men who wanted to be remembered. He put two turns and a covered market stall between himself and Halmasy's office before he let his shoulders come down from around his ears.

Only then, three streets clear, did he let himself think about what he'd actually seen.

Referee, confirmed. Second on the list. Not first.

A man like Halmasy didn't number things for style. He numbered them because he tracked outcomes the way the Ring tracked odds: in order, by cost, by what he stood to lose if any single line failed. A referee bought and paid was a serious thing, expensive and traceable and worth six years of careful money. And it was line two.

Line one had already been checked off. Whatever it was, it was done, or as good as done, before Draw Week's dawn Tell ever opened the boards, done quietly enough that it hadn't needed a name written next to it, which was somehow worse than if it had, because a name was a thing you could steal and burn and hand to a Circuit magistrate. A blank line with a check mark was a thing you couldn't touch at all.

Dorvan stopped under the awning of a shuttered chandler's, breath finally slowing, one hand pressed flat against the ledger's cover through his coat as if he could keep it from telling him anything more tonight than it already had.

He had a referee's name in ink, and a date, and a price, and the hours he had left before dawn, which might not be as many as he'd thought, because if the first contingency was already checked off, then whatever Halmasy had actually built to kill his sister's match wasn't waiting for dawn.

It might already be running.

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About the author

Ignatius Sorrell

Ignatius Sorrell writes LitRPG and progression fantasy about underdogs who out-think the System, tactical fights and leveling that costs something. The voice is fast and tactical. Chapters favor momentum over recap, and…

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